Mr. Chairman,
Elected Officials of New York State and New York City,
Distinguished Members of the Diplomatic and Consular Corps,
The Hon. Sylvia Radix,
Dr. Edison Jackson,
Assistant Secretary-General of the CARICOM Secretariat,
Specially Invited Guests,
Ladies and Gentlemen,
We share a world that is caught up in dramatic change,
much of which have to do with the supplanting of long standing social and
economic systems and the erosion and re-definition of time honoured relations.
It
could either become the best of times, or the worst of times.
This
will, in large measure, depend on whether we develop the new, enlightened
capacity to manage change by being able to communicate effectively with the
entire civil society as to the purposes of change, its intended effect, its
likely impact.
In
our Caribbean region, the need for such illuminating and effective communication
is nowhere more urgently required than in relation to matters concerning the
conception and implementation of the Caribbean Single Market and Economy (CSME).
Indeed,
it is still very much a fair charge that despite the efforts of a consistent and
valiant few, matters concerning the CSME continue to be regarded by a wide cross
section of the society as closely guarded secrets, best left to public
officials, or to that handful of businesses which ply their trade in the region
or to an even smaller and select group of academics who delight in dabbling in
things that are incomprehensible to the ordinary mind.
It
is in such a context that I welcome the opportunity to be part of this special
symposium which holds the promise of initiating an important engagement with
members of a community whose actions can have a significant bearing on the
fortunes of the CSME itself.
The
creation of a Caribbean Single Market and Economy is a historic necessity which
must be brought to full fruition, no matter how ardous the task may at times
appear, how negligible the immediate returns, or how vast the pitfalls and
obstacles that threaten to ensnarl it.
It
offers the societies of the region, individually and collectively, the only
realistic and viable option by which to achieve sustainable development, and in
the process the prospect of erasing the two great economic deficits which
confront the region at the start of this new century.
The
first is the wide gap between the material progress which our region can, with
effective resource use, attain as compared to what has so far been achieved; the
second is the gap between the material expectations and needs of our people and
our capacity thus far to meet them.
The
CSME also represents the most effective means by which the individual economies
of the region can be successfully integrated into the proposed new Hemispheric
economy and the evolving global economic system on terms that will enable them
to minimise the costs and dislocations that ensue from that integration, while
maximizing the potential benefits.
It
further offers a wider field of opportunity for growth and expansion of
businesses of all description, across all sectors, and the ideal setting in
which they can come to terms with and overcome the long standing problems of
uncompetitiveness, deriving from small scale, with which they have always been
plagued.
It
portends a new relationship between the ordinary Caribbean man and woman and
enterprises to the regional economic system, in the form of new rights of
establishment of enterprise, greater economic mobility and choice, and the
exposure to new systems of competition among themselves through which,
hopefully, they can lift themselves to world class standards.
Before
I delve into the design features of the CSME to outline how they are intended to
accomplish the grand purposes, as just described, I will first establish
context.
The
15 Caribbean economies involved in the exercise to reconstitute themselves as a
Single Caribbean Market and Economy have, over an extended period of over 400
years, incorporated into their structure and functioning certain systemic
features which bear directly on their capacity to achieve a CSME.
The
first is that they have evolved as economic systems distinctly separated from
each other, but closely and effectively integrated into the economies of the
metropolitan, advanced economics with which they have been associated.
In
such a context, they have evolved inheriting few natural
indigenous economic impulses for the maximization of resource use or
domestic valued added, and with it increased employment and national welfare.
This has been due to the fact that in the wider economic arrangement in
which they have been embedded, they largely performed the role of suppliers of
primary agricultural, mineral exports and light manufactured commodities
depending heavily on the rest of the world for capital, entrepreneurship,
skills, markets, technology and transforming mechanisms of all forms and at all
levels.
Secondly,
over an extended period, the respective Caribbean economies have put in place a
formidable array of barriers to the easy and free movement of goods, services,
skills and capital among their respective economies. Indeed, it might well be
said that foreign enterprise and entities have, in the main, being traditionally
afforded a more accommodating and potentially profitable environment within
which to do business than the typical Caribbean enterprise.
Much
of the economic potential of the respective Caribbean economies has been stifled
by their arrangements.
Thirdly,
and perhaps of overwhelming significance, has been the extent to which the
structure of most Caribbean economies have been shaped until recently by two
reinforcing set of polices and circumstances.
The
first has been the deployment everywhere across the region of a wide array of
tariff and non-tariff devices to afford high levels of protection against
external competition to domestic and especially infant enterprises.
The
second has been the widespread reliance of the respective Caribbean economies on
preferential one-way duty free access to the markets of their main trading
partners under the auspices of trade agreements such as the CBI, CARIBCAN and
the LOME Agreements.
While
those trade arrangements have provided some elements of stability and
assuredness of market for traditional industries in manufacturing and
agriculture, they have always locked the region’s economies into patterns of
resource use that militate against nimbleness in resource deployment in the
rapidly changing costs and demand conditions such as exist in today’s world.
As
a consequence of the deep-seated dependence on these two peculiar instruments of
economic development – high levels of domestic protection internally, and a
high level of dependence on trade preference externally – the Caribbean has
come to this particular juncture in the evolution of the global economy, which
is itself exemplified by an almost total commitment everywhere to the precepts
and practice of economic, financial and trade liberalization, facing a new
profound and unique development dilemma.
For
not only is the region the world’s smallest and most vulnerable economic bloc,
but it also contains that set of societies which have to undertake a more
drastic and comprehensive restructuring of their economic systems than any other
set of economies.
In
a very short order, and indeed by way of a process that has to be compressed
into no more than a decade, these economies will have to adjust their production
systems to reduce their dependence on trade preferences. In addition, some will
have to make radical reforms of this fiscal system to reduce their extraordinary
dependence on taxes on trade. Quite considerable efforts at corporate
restructuring on the part of the private sector will have to be initiated and
sustained to afford our domestic enterprises, the largest of which are
micro-businesses by world standards, a fair chance of successfully competing in
the same, liberalized economic space, such as the FTAA, with some of the most
powerful and largest enterprises in the world.
It
also goes without saying that the nature of adjustment required will entail that
the state itself transform how it does its own business, and how it relates to
the productive private economy, all with a view of reorienting formerly
inward-looking, highly protected economic systems to become externally driven,
technologically dynamic and highly competitive.
The
task ahead not only raises the spectre of a collision between the ends being
sought and the resources to accomplish them. It will also be a desperate race
against time.
For
while the developed world has had the benefit of over a half of a century of
economic conditioning, stretched over 8 rounds of multilateral trade
negotiations, to prepare themselves for viable existence in today’s globalised
economy, the Caribbean economies will have to carry out the equivalent
adjustment to their fiscal, productive and corporate systems in hardly more than
a decade.
It
is the confluence of all of these peculiar and pressing conditions and
circumstances which confers upon the creation of a Caribbean Single Market and
Economy its essential urgency and irresistibility as a force in Caribbean
affairs.
DESIGN OF THE CARIBBEAN SINGLE MARKET AND ECONOMY
The scope, governing precepts and the institutional
arrangements of the proposed Caribbean Single Market and Economy are best
understood by reference to the attempts at Caribbean economic integration which
preceded it.
The contemporary enterprise to integrate the economies of
the Caribbean goes back to 1968, with the establishment of the Caribbean Free
Trade Area (CARIFTA) to serve the limited purpose of removing the tariff and
other barriers to intra-regional trade in goods only.
It was, by its very nature, a very limited exercise in
integration whose transforming effects were reflected in a modest way only in
the growth in intra-regional trade, which hovered at around 10% of the trade
transactions engaged in by Caribbean economies.
Five years later, the integration process was deepened,
through the Treaty of Chaguaramas, by the provisions to create a form of Common
Market in the region. To the
pre-existing arrangements to support the liberalisation of trade in goods was
added the establishment of a common external-tariff, designed to provide some
measure of protection to regional industries.
The 1973 Treaty also contained provisions – though token in nature –
relating to the removal of restrictions in respect of the establishment of
businesses, provision of services, the movement of capital and the coordination
of economic policies.
Again, this relatively limited approach to economic
integration yielded only limited economic benefits and returns.
It made hardly a difference to the volume of
intra-regional trade, which continued to hover at around 10% of total trade. It
was hardly a stimulus to major new investments. And by its design and intent to
support regional import substitution, it scarcely served as a means by which
evolving and intensely pressing issues concerning international competitiveness
and export penetration could be addressed.
In the ensuing years, some of the principal Caribbean
economies, under the auspices of multilateral lending institutions, implemented
structural adjustment programmes having at their core, programmes of economic,
financial and trade liberalization that far exceeded their commitments as
expressed in the Treaty of Chaguaramas.
In addition, by the end of the 1980s, through the
proliferation of new trading blocs, and the rapid onset of economic
globalization accompanied by its legitimising ideology of economic and financial
liberalization, economic systems everywhere was being reconfigured to more
accommodate the working of free, private market forces, to facilitate robust
capital and other factor flows, and to promote export-led growth and
international competitiveness to an extent not contemplated in the 1973 design
of the instruments of Caribbean economic integration.
As such, at Grande Anse, Grenada in 1989, Heads of
Government, convinced of the need to expeditiously deepen and strengthen the
Caribbean Community in all of its dimensions to seek equitable and sustainable
development, and respond to the challenges and opportunities presented by the
global economy, decided to transform the limited Common Market, as originally
conceived in 1973, into a fully fledged Single Market and Single Economy in the
shortest possible time.
In relation to its design features, as are embodied in
the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas of 2002, it is intended that the respective
economies of the Caribbean should be reconstituted through the removal of
existing barriers, as a Single Market space in which not only goods, but
services, capital, technology, and skilled persons should freely circulate, and
Caribbean citizens should enjoy new and unfettered rights of establishment of
enterprise anywhere in their region.
The provisions relating to such market liberalization
have been drafted to enable Caribbean countries to confer on each other faster,
broader and deeper market access in
relation to capital flows, the provision of services and the like that it has,
hitherto, or is prepared to confer on any other region to which it relates.
It would also be appropriate to point out that CARICOM is the only
integration scheme, save and except for the European Union, to
explicitly make provision for the free movement of people.
The provisions of the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas are
also designed to reconfigure the hitherto separate domestic economies into a Single
Economy through the harmonization, coordination and convergence of
macro-economic policies, the implementation of a common external trade policy,
the harmonized and coordinated development of the productive economic sectors
and small and micro-enterprises, and collaboration in relation to the management
of monetary and exchange rate affairs. The Revised Treaty also makes provision for joint regional
actions in relation to the development of capital markets, standards setting and
enforcement, the enforcement of a community-wide competition policy and consumer
protection measures, and of course, the creation of new regional institutions to
implement region policies in the areas concerned.
Importantly, the arrangement for the creation of the CSME,
in pursuit of the objective of equitable development make explicit allowance to
accord special and differential treatment to those countries, specially the OECS
countries, that enter the process as LDC’s. It also sets out the processes by
which countries, regions or sectors which experience disadvantage as a result of
workings of the regional integration process can seek. and attain redress.
Finally, to bolster consumer and investor confidence in
the certainty, predictability and fairness in the application of the measures
relating to the CSME, new modes of
mediation and dispute settlement have been embedded in the Revised Treaty.
At the apex of these is the proposed creation of a Caribbean Court of
Justice, vested with the compulsory and exclusive jurisdiction to hear and
determine disputes concerning the interpretation and application of the Treaty
which creates the CSME.
As regard the implementation of the provisions to
create the CSME, a specific timetable has been set (2005) by which member states
will remove, in accordance with a phased and agreed programme, the existing 350
odd restrictions on capital mobility, the rights of establishment of
enterprises, the movement of skills and the provision of services. Three
countries have also signalled their capacity to remove such restrictions, which
are at the heart of creation a Single Market by the end of 2004, and are
making the necessary legislative arrangements so to do.
It is of course understood that the measures to harmonize
and coordinate the setting of economic policies, to cooperate in the development
of productive sectors and common economic services, and to build and to operate
supporting institutions are and will be ongoing activities that will extend well
into the future.
The institutional arrangements to facilitate the conduct
of a common external trade policy have been put into effect in the form of the
Regional Negotiating Machinery which is marshalling the region’s external
trade negotiations in the multiplicity of theatres in which new trade agreements
affecting the region are being considered.
And all of the agreements and other institutional
arrangements to support the operation of a Caribbean Court of Justice and to
support and sustain its juridical and financial independence and integrity are
in place, and the Court is to be
inaugurated in the very near future.
Before I leave the matter of the implementation of the
CSME, I would wish to touch on a few issues which have led to distorted
perceptions about what the CSME is and what it has achieved.
The first is to make clear that the CSME will never
appear in any one place or time as a finished or finite entity. Rather, it will
evolve. Indeed, at Article 239 of
the Revised Treaty, there is a built in Agenda to support the elaboration of
future Protocols in areas where the region is conducting external negotiations
but have no equivalent regional regime (electronic commerce and government
procurement). The built-in agenda also requires that future regional regimes be
formulated to deal with the treatment of goods in free zones and similar
jurisdictions, the free circulation of goods and rights contingent on the
provision of the movement of capital and the establishment of enterprises, to
give certainty and completeness to the liberalization provisions.
There are also major omissions in the design of the CSME
which early experience suggests require an immediate and urgent response. For
example, unlike the situation which pertains in the European Union, the
provisions for the creation of a CSME makes no allowance for a Regional
Fisheries Policy and Regime.
Yet, the Caribbean Sea is arguably the most vital
component of the single economic space that the CSME is intended to create.
There is therefore a crucial need for rules to be devised and implemented
governing access to its resources, and the management of those resources, if a
dispute that has not yet subsided between two otherwise happily interdependent
neighbours is anything to go by.
The incorporation of a Regional Fisheries Policy and
regime, together with provisions relating to Labour Law, Property Law and a
regime for Community Transnational Enterprises will help to bring fullness to
the design of the CSME.
The implementation of the CSME has also raised issues
relating to the relevance of the governance of the economic integration
movement. The CSME constitutes by far the single most ambitious economic
endeavour ever contemplated by the region.
It is exceeded in its scope and depth only by the European Union.
Yet it is intended to be implemented by recourse to
mechanisms of governance, which draw their designs and power from the concept of
the Caribbean Community as a family of sovereign states.
In such a context, the nation state is effectively the locus of
decision-making and implementation on regional matters and sovereignty is not
intended to be transferred to supranational regional institutions.
It is quite simply the most difficult way by which an
undertaking as complex and far-reaching as that of the reconstitution of 15
separate domestic economies into one single market and economy can be
approached. The matter of Regional
Governance is therefore now the subject of the work of a Special Task Force.
And then there is the issue as to whether the CSME will
be subsumed in or made irrelevant by other integration processes in which
CARICOM is engaged, such as the FTAA.
The facts are that the main provisions for the CSME are
intended to be in place by 2005. Those relating to the FTAA, if agreement
can be reached, will be phased in over a decade or more beginning in 2005.
As long as the CSME provides its participating
territories with faster, broader and deeper liberalization in every sphere and
discipline than that which is afforded to them by the FTAA, it is conceivable
that it should not only co-exist with the FTAA, but continue to be a major driving
force behind Caribbean economic transformation well into this century.
It is against this background that I turn to issues
related to the implications of the creation of the CSME for Caribbean
relationships with the United States.
It would be my judgement that such implications as may
arise from the implementation of the CSME will draw their substance
predominantly from two points of reference:
The first, of course, relates to the provision of Chapter Five of
the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas for the execution of a coordinated external
trade policy.
The second set of issues derives from the significance attached to
the creation of the CSME as the institutional vehicle that will be called upon
to promote equitable regional development, and the desirability and willingness
of the United States of America (USA) to be part of the endeavour of engendering
strong and equitable development in the Caribbean, not only in search of a
secure third border, but in the interest of making our immediate Hemisphere a
successful neighbourhood.
Having said that, it would be a folly not to begin by
recognizing that USA relations with the Caribbean have been traditionally
grounded, less in the diplomacy related to economic development, but by
reference to a set of interests and power relations that at times have elevated
matters such as security, the fight against narcotics trade and immigration to
places of relative pre-eminence.
It would also be useful to point out, by way of context
that the USA is, in its relation to our region, often willing to acknowledge
that it is a Caribbean State. As such the changing roles, forced by shifts in
the design of the world order on the USA and the various countries of the
Caribbean in their capacities jointly as Caribbean States, has served and will
continue to entangle their respective destinies in a more intense and
complicated way than ever before.
If I may go to the specific matter at hand to the extent
that CARICOM’s economic relationship with the USA beyond 2005 will be
transformed by our participation together in the new FTAA, it stands to reason
that much of the economic consequences of this new partnering will depend on
whether the USA views the newly integrated hemispheric economy mostly as a base
from which to export even more competitively to other distant markets within the
ambit of expanded WTO rules, or an opportunity for greater Hemispheric economic
engagement.
It is my judgement that the coming into existence of the
FTAA will not change the cold and vital reality that the most important
dimensions of the USA’s trade, financial and investment relationships will
continue to be set within the crucible of its economic dealings with an expanded
European Union, Japan and the South Eastern Economies, and the emerging
potential powerhouses in India and China, rather than with our immediate region.
From a strictly Caribbean perspective, USA economic
relations with the Caribbean have, over the past two decades, been shaped by the
provisions contained in one general regional trade agreement, (the CBI) and a
number of bilateral investment, double taxation and tax information exchange
agreements with respective Caribbean States.
The measures as set out in Chapter Five of the Revised
Treaty of Chaguaramas, which present the elements of a coordinated external
trade policy for the CSME, in essence introduce new rules of engagement for our
external economic relations, including those with the USA, that suggest that
more of these relations will in the future, even if negotiated
bilaterally, have to take their bearings from the regional regimes.
They certainly will also have to conform to the spirit
and letter of Article 8 of the Revised Treaty which requires that each member
state of the CSME should accord to another member state treatment that is no
less favourable than that accorded to an extra-regional third state.
Beyond that statement of general principle, the Treaty
establishing CSME, at Article 80, while providing for the coordination of our
external trade policy, acknowledges that bilateral agreements may be negotiated
by Member States in pursuance of their national interests, but such terms should
be without prejudice to their obligations under the Treaty, and should be
subject to certification by the CARICOM Secretariat that the agreements do not
prejudice or place at a disadvantage the position of other CARICOM States.
Another such instance of “constrained flexibility”
that can be enjoyed by individual Member States in their bilateral relations
with the USA is expressed in the General Exceptions Clause at Article 226. This,
inter alia, prescribes that nothing shall be construed as preventing the
adoption or enforcement by any Member State of measures to give effect to
international obligations, including treaties on the avoidance of double
taxation, but only if such measures do not constitute arbitrary or unjustifiable
discrimination between Member States where like conditions prevail, or
constitute a disguised restriction on trade within the community.
In the context of such explicit Treaty obligations, it is
therefore to be anticipated, for instance, that the negotiation of future
bilateral investment treaties between the USA and respective CARICOM States,
will have to fit within the contours of the regional investment code which is
being developed, and all bilateral Transportation Agreements ought to emerge
from jointly and regionally negotiated “Open Skies Agreement.”
The CSME also envisions the building of new regional
capacities, such as the Regional Organisation for Standards and Quality, the
Regional Accreditation of education programmes for skills and the Regional
Competition Commission.
Such institutions will need to be accepted by the USA as
having the capacity and authority to fill national
obligations, and hence worthy of its engagement.
The creation of the CSME may now also make it possible
for the specification of a sugar quota by the USA, which has historically be
determined on a bilateral basis, to be now assigned to the region as a whole,
and hence facilitate coordinated rationalization of this industry within the
Caribbean.
The creation of the CSME will also introduce new
people-to-people dynamics in the Caribbean relations to the USA. There is a
large Caribbean population in the USA. The CSME provides new opportunities for
Caribbean nationals wherever located. It is therefore to be envisioned that one
of the decisive differences that the CSME will cause will take the form of the
enlarged role that the USA-based disapora can now play in the future development
of our regional economy, and in so doing, in strengthening the general
CARICOM-USA relationship.
In the broadest context, the most important future
transformation of CARICOM’s economic relations with the USA will be shaped by
the nature of the Caribbean’s integration into the FTAA, and the role that is
played by the USA in making that transition smooth and successful.
The Caribbean already enjoys the duty free access for
most of its goods exported to the USA market that most of its Hemispheric
neighbours are seeking through the FTAA. On the face of it, it therefore has
less to gain and more to lose than any of its neighbours in its trade and
economic relations with the USA from the liberalization of hemispheric trade.
This matter is compounded by the fact that unlike most of Central and
Latin America, in its relations with the USA under the auspices of the FTAA, the
Caribbean will have to replace a pre-existing preferential trade relationship
with a reciprocal one, given that our trade preferences under the CBI are set to
expire either in 2008 or on the coming into being of the FTAA.
It is this special circumstance that warrants the call by
the Caribbean to be accorded a regime of special and differential measures to
govern its participation in the FTAA.
I should also use this occasion to underscore the fact
that to the extent that our Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas acknowledges the
distinction between the more developed and the lesser develop members of the
CSME, our case for special and differential treatment in our relations with the
USA under the proposed FTAA, should be sufficiently nuanced to urge more
concessional and favourable terms to be extended to our OECS neighbours and the
LDC’s of the Caribbean Single Market and Economy than to our region’s more
developed countries.
This call for special and differential treatment with the
USA in the context of our FTAA, is not a call for the deferment of the
inevitable, but its appropriate phasing in to make our new economic
relationships work harmoniously in the relatively unequal conditions that
stretch across the Hemispheric economy that the FTAA is seeking to create.
And this brings me to my final point.
Ever since the conclusion of the Uruguay Round, Caribbean
States have understood that the application of the principle of
non-discrimination in international economic affairs will in the future preclude
our trading partners in the USA and Canada and in Europe extending to us
preferential trade arrangements that they are not willing to extend to
countries of our equivalent circumstances.
We are attempting in part to adjust to this new
international economic reality by the pursuit of a coordinated external trade
negotiation stance that hopefully will allow us to manage the transition from
one set of external economic relations to another.
Successful external trade negotiations will set the broad
context within which our future development will take place.
We do however recognize that our overall and ultimate
success will hinge not only on the effectiveness of our trade negotiations, but
on the strength of the programme of transformation and adjustment which we must
undertake in relation to the structure of our domestic economies to fit them
more comfortably into the new global economy.
The creation of a CSME is the central, vital, strategic
component in that process of Caribbean contemporary economic restructuring.
We need now to recast our economic relations with the
USA, not just to satisfactorily conclude our hemispheric trade relations under the
FTAA. We need more urgently to open
up new modalities of cooperation with the USA in relation to technology flows,
human resource development, private direct investments, institutional
development and capacity building to support the domestic economic reforms that
must accompany our external trade negotiations.
In a relationship that has perhaps become too bedeviled
by irritants, missteps and misundertaking, a new partnership, based on new
modalities of cooperation to support a new Caribbean Single Market and Economy
holds the promise of offering a new, fresh way in our relations with the USA.
The first decade of the twenty-first century finds the
Caribbean somewhat trapped between two economic worlds; one that is swiftly
vanishing, the other that is struggling to be properly conceived. The new
economic dispensation that we are seeking to conceive and create is one that
integrates the Caribbean successfully into the new global economy as a
competitive, prosperous economy which, through that nexus, and through its own
indigenous efforts, creates a stronger capacity to enable it to meet the needs
and expectations of its citizens for a better quality of life.
The Caribbean looks to new fresh relationships among its
members to bring that new world into existence. Hence the CSME.
We look no less to new, fresh relationships with valued
and long standing friends to aid us in this endeavour.